Моделирование воздействия сильной магнитной бури на Объединенную энергетическую систему Центра России
Аннотация
Исследование негативного влияния космической погоды и, как частный случай, магнитных бурь на функционирование критической технологической инфраструктуры и развитие методов и средств её защиты – актуальная и в то же время сложная задача. Решением этой проблемы занимаются многие развитые страны, прежде всего США. В статье представлены результаты разработки методологии расчетного моделирования воздействия геоиндуцированных токов на крупные электроэнергетические системы, позволяющей учитывать факторы изменения реактивной мощности и температуры элементов конструкции силовых трансформаторов при их подмагничивании, а также работу релейной защиты. Впервые выполнено моделирование воздействия ожидаемых при сильной магнитной буре геоиндуцированных токов на Объединенную энергетическую систему Центра России, включающую энергосистемы Московской, Ленинградской и других важнейших административно-промышленных областей страны. Показано, что при таком воздействии возникает комплекс факторов, способный вызвать развитие системной аварии: значительное снижение напряжения на ряде объектов энергетической системы, массовое отключение линий электропередачи действием релейной защиты и недопустимый нагрев элементов конструкций некоторых силовых трансформаторов.
Литература
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